Mass protests in Georgia have been centered around a controversial “foreign influence” bill proposed by the ruling Georgian Dream coalition. The bill would require organizations receiving over 20% of their funding from abroad to register as entities pursuing the interests of a foreign power. Critics argue that this legislation could restrict Georgia’s EU aspirations and push the country closer to Russia. The bill’s advancement through parliament represents the coalition’s second attempt at similar legislation, with the previous iteration being scrapped amid anti-government demonstrations and warnings from Western officials about democratic backsliding.

Georgian Dream’s push for the bill is believed to be motivated by a desire to solidify its power ahead of the upcoming parliamentary elections. Despite overwhelming public support for Georgia’s EU membership aspirations, the ruling coalition appears to be emulating a Hungarian model of appealing to social conservatism to maintain control. Experts suggest that the party is seeking to establish a semi-authoritarian state in a pragmatic effort to remain in power. Billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili, the party’s founder and Georgia’s wealthiest man, is seen as a key figure guiding the political direction of Georgian Dream, with his comeback signaling a desire for greater control over party decision-making.

Speculation surrounds Ivanishvili’s influence on the controversial bill, with some believing his fears of Western interference in Georgian affairs have played a significant role in its advancement. While some experts attribute the bill to Russian inspiration and the potential to shift Georgia towards Moscow’s orbit, others argue that the focus on Russia’s involvement may be overstated. Concerns about the impending bill’s impact on political opposition, independent monitoring, and media organizations that rely on foreign funding are rising. The legislation could significantly affect the outcome of the forthcoming parliamentary elections and deepen the divide between the government and the public.

The potential passing of the bill in the third and final reading is expected to take place later this month, despite President Salome Zurabishvili’s vow to veto it. Georgian Dream possesses sufficient parliamentary seats to override any presidential objections. The new financial regulations introduced by the bill may hinder opposition parties, independent monitors, and media outlets reliant on foreign donors. While protests against the legislation have occurred, some experts believe that the government will maintain control over the situation. There is skepticism about the protests leading to irreversible divisions within Georgian society, with the political stage primarily concentrated in Tbilisi rather than representing a national uprising.

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